And although he's yet to have a standout performance at Michigan, you could have said the same about Reddick at Road America and The Brickyard, and he went out and won both of those races. WebNASCAR and its marks are trademarks of the National Association for Stock Car Auto Racing, LLC. Fifth Driver: Brian Vickers (16.4): Rounding out the team with Vickers offers the best chance for a scoring a top 15 finish for driver in this price range.Total Team Value: 99.4. AJ Allmendinger ($6,400)Career at Auto Club: 14 starts, 0 wins, 0 top fives, 2 top 10sAverage finish at Auto Club: 19.4. We may be compensated for the links provided on this page. Obviously Larson is the favorite to dominate Sundays race, but Chase Elliott has shown flashes of similar speed in this 550 hp package this season. Hes ended up 9th or better in five of his last nine Michigan starts and has ended up inside the top 10 in ten of the last twelve Stages here. Below is my NASCAR DFS lineup picks for the Pala Casino 400 on DraftKings and FanDuel this week. Kyle Busch is looking for back-to-back wins early in this NASCAR campaign, and sportsbooks like him to do so, putting him atop the Pennzoil 400 odds board ahead of race day. Now we can actually look at which drivers you should look at picking up this week before the race. This slate locks on 2/26/23 at 3:45 p.m. ET on USA. Two weeks ago, two of McClure's core picks finished in the top 10: Kyle Larson (fifth place) and Erik Jones, who finished ninth after starting 34th in the grid. Perhaps most surprisingly, Cole Custer ($6200)hung right with his teammates in practice times, making him a very sneaky tournament play. We havent raced at Auto Club since March of 2020, and we havent raced here at Michigan since August of last year. On a good day, Alfredo will post a top 25. Below is my NASCAR DFS lineup picks for the Pala Casino 400 on DraftKings and FanDuel this week. Michigan Fantasy Spin At Michigan, look for Kyle Busch to be a top five contender wholl be a factor to win. Get more NASCAR DFS advice here. Ty Dillon ($6,600) starts all the way back in in 33rd position at Michigan and finished in the 20th spot there in June. I will take a chance with the No. Im just going to chalk up his result to him not closing well. Over the last three races ran at Michigan, Newman has an AFP(average finishing position) of 20.3. If you're looking to bet on some NASCAR action, here are two of the best bonuses* available: A) New users at FanDuel can get a no-sweat first bet ofup to $1,000! The bonus picks are changing for the 2022 season and will revolve around four head-to-head matchups each race weekend. Tyler Reddick Also, I will be hosting a free NASCAR DraftKings league that will run each week for the Cup Series only. FireKeepers Casino 400 at Michigan: NASCAR DFS Picks, Top 500 Fantasy Baseball Dynasty Rankings, Fantasy 101: How to Play Rotisserie Baseball, 2023 Fantasy Baseball Position Eligibility, Fantasy EPL 101 How to Play Draft Premier League. He does have one other top 10 at Fontana, though: a fifth place back in 2016. ET on Sunday. 11 car Sunday. In race #1 2020, Busch finished 9th in Stage #1, 6th in Stage #2, had a 6.6 average running position, recorded the 5th best Total Speed Ranking and then finished 5th overall. 2 Spot, Pala Casino 400: Fontana Picks, Odds & Race Preview, Daytona 500 Picks, Predictions, and Race Preview, Duel at Daytona Odds, Picks, & Predictions: Setting the Grid for Sunday, March 2023 Sports Calendar: Let the Madness Begin. AD has a career average finish of 16.4 here at Michigan International Speedway and has finished 16th or better in eight of the last eleven races at this track. Busch himself has four wins and the best average finish among active drivers (besides Jimmie Johnson, whos not in this race). I probably wouldnt pair these two together in one lineup, though, unless youre not including Larson in it. In the four races prior to that, Larsons results were 1st, 1st, 1st and 3rd. Do not worry about allocations anymore. I expect to have another chance to win there. I wrote his remarks in my notes and highlighted PLAY BELL AT MICHIGAN. He comes from the same school of racing as Kyle Larson and Tyler Reddick. Now without further ado, lets goooo!!!! In the race, Reddick made an unexpected pit stop on lap 25 for a tire issue, and then later on lap 143 he had contact with Preece which damaged the #8. Tune in Sunday at 3 p.m. Perhaps a homecoming could do wonders for Keselowski as the Detroit-area native prepares for the 2022 FireKeepers Casino 400 at Michigan International Speedway. Kyle Larson is on the pole for this weekends race with his teammate, Chase Elliott, slated to start 2nd. A price tag of -105 translates to an implied probability of 51.22%, which is way too rich for my blood considering the uncertainty that I detailed in the introduction. Kyle Larson 2. Top 125 Starting Pitcher Rankings for 2023 Fantasy Baseball, Fantasy Baseball Dynasty League Strategy for 2023, NL Spring Training Battles with Fantasy Relevance, 10 Players Most Likely to See Their ADP Change Based on Spring Training Performance, FantraxHQ 2023 Fantasy Baseball Draft Kit, Top 300 Fantasy Baseball Dynasty Rankings, H2H Points League Strategy for 2023 Fantasy Baseball, Top 200 2022 FYPD Prospect Rankings for 2023 Dynasty Drafts, Compete for Cash Prizes in a Fantrax Classic Draft Contest, Get ready for the season with a mock draft on Fantrax.com, Create your own league or join an existing league with Fantrax Commissioner. But that happens sometimes at superspeedways; you cant really control whether your driver will get lucky or not. We need to save one allocation with the No. And with four drivers priced +800 or lower, the books clearly favor the top tier at Las Vegas Motor Speedway. The second race of the NASCAR Cup Series season is the start of the West Coast swing in not-so-sunny California. Christopher Bell, Kyle Busch, Joey Logano, and Austin Cindric round out the top 5. Auto Club DraftKings DFS Tournament Picks. Add in his fast practice and qualifying times, and we have a nice contrarian play to Kyle Busch and Denny Hamlin. Fantasy NASCAR FireKeepers Casino 400 at Michigan: NASCAR DFS Picks By Kelly Kirby On Aug 7, 2022 The gentlemen will start their engines at Michigan International Speedway today, and the lineup is set, with Bubba Wallace sitting in pole Additionally, he placed third at Homestead last fall, posting the fifth-fastest green flag speed. As far as Michigan goes, Jones record is decent: a career average finish of 15.5 over six career starts and only one top 10a 3rd-place finish back in 2017. As a condition of using this website, you agree to hold the owner of this website harmless from any claims arising from your use of any services on any third party website that may be featured by Covers. degree in Liberal Studies at California State University Bakersfield in 2010. Our NASCAR driver rankings have the top 35 drivers, each with a commentary on their 2017 This #12 Ford has finished 6th or better in six of the eight 550hp package races this season and has the 5th-most fastest laps here at Michigan over the last two years. Tyson Walker has led the Spartans this season with 14.6 points per game, Since my brain works more in tournament mode, though, I actually like the 2nd-best lineup (according to my projections) a little more, and that one is: Kyle Larson, Chase Elliott, Christopher Bell, Austin Dillon, Tyler Reddick, and Anthony Alfredo. But not capped enough to avoid him in cash games. Reddick notched his second career Cup Series victory last week at the Indy Road Course. Your email address will not be published. Try selecting a different location. The winner on the racetrack tallies 45 points, while second place gets 42, third 41 and so on. 11 Toyota. The #5 Chevrolet is going to be a threat to win on Sunday and Larson should pick up the most dominator points along the way yet again. Im instead opting for Almirolas +500 odds, and heres why. He starts back in 35th and even on a bad day should be fast enough to get a top 28 finish. Tenth place scores 34, while 11th gets 32, and decreasing by one from there through 20th. Get a preview of the field with our Pennzoil 400 odds, and be sure to check back later in the week for a full race preview and, Pennzoil 400: Las Vegas Picks, Odds & Race Preview, NASCAR Cup Series Odds: Busch Makes First Move, Climbs Into No. I think Busch already knows where he is racing next year but the organizations involved are waiting to dot the Is and cross the Ts before they make the announcement. As the early NASCAR Cup Series odds begin to evolve, Busch could make a serious statement with a second win in as many weeks, and with Top-5 finishes in this race each of the past two years, it's certainly within his grasp. Anybody who has followed his picks has seen huge returns. The email address is not publicly visible or shared. How to make 2022 NASCAR at Michigan picks The model is also targeting two other drivers with 2022 NASCAR at Michigan odds of 12-1 or longer to make a serious run at the checkered flag. He ranks seventh in both laps led (316) and fastest laps (207) despite a slow start to the season. Reddick completely dominated the race at Auto Club in February. Blaney starts 24th because he tagged the wall slightly during his qualifying lap. Before I share this weeks picks for Auto Club, heres a look at how last weeks drivers did on DraftKings: A lot of these drivers were caught up in late crashes and werent able to get a good finish. In fact, if you want to positively correlate them in the optimizer settings while building lineups, Id suggest that avenue. Even if he doesnt, he should still do well on DraftKings. Ryan Blaney ($9300):Blaney is in a great cash-game spot here, priced down from the top tier at only $9300. Of those, I view Kansas to be the single most similar track and at that venue in addition to finishing 3rd, Busch had the best Total Speed Ranking. The No. Hes low enough salary-wise that he should hit value if he earns a good result on Sunday. The gentlemen will start their engines at Michigan International Speedway today, and the lineup is set, with Bubba Wallace sitting in pole position for the first time in his career. Wallace was the only driver to go above 190 mph in the final round of qualifying. Christopher Bell, Kyle Busch, Joey Logano, and Austin Cindric round out the top 5. For the season, Busch ranks fourth in laps led (462) and sixth in pass differential (220). By Pearce Dietrich Aug 3, 2022, 12:31pm PDT And, as always, good luck! The only other 2-mile track that used to be on the schedule is Auto Club Speedway. Hamlin runs up front and scores very well in Fantasy Live one week and then he looks like complete garbage the next week. I will have Reddick in the Garage just in case he dominates again Sunday. He earned the 8th best driver rating and had an 11th place average running position. my wifes bet on Ricky Stenhouse to win the Daytona 500 at 40-1 NASCAR odds, translates to an implied probability of 51.22%. He is also one of the cheaper drivers with a cost of only 16.4, and adding Vickers allows for a little more room to spend on your third and fourth driver. August 6, 2022 Fantasy Live Picks. ET on DraftKings. Here are this weekend's picks, courtesy Frontstretch.com 's Joy Tomlinson. As I discussed in my preview on Thursday, Kevin Harvick has the best history and the most to gain by winning. document.getElementById("comment").setAttribute( "id", "a29234cc541813c362a6ef1216053161" );document.getElementById("fe53143262").setAttribute( "id", "comment" ); Save my name, email, and website in this browser for the next time I comment. Michigan | DFS NASCAR Fantasy Driver-by-Driver Breakdown (DraftKings & FanDuel) Watch on Optimal Lineup According to Jordans Projections The optimal Michigan Track History Kyle Busch is an elite performer at Michigan who currently has nine straight results between 3rd to 10th. Austin Dillon 5. He also ranked 11th-fastest in that category in the Coca-Cola 600 at Charlotte. Busch should do better; after all, Tyler Reddick had great speed in this car in 2022 (more on him later). Fantasy Fallout: With Gavin Lux Out, Could A Sleeper Emerge? Although Chastain didnt have top 10 green flag speed at Auto Club in 2022, he did at both Darlington races, Michigan and Homestead. He's in a prime position to make a run at the checkered flag and comes at a price that won't break the bank. Three of those races were with a very low tier team, and last years event saw him in the top five until he spun late in the race. He might. A former Vegas bookmaker, Read his daily fantasy NASCAR advice and Xfinity sleepers. 0 of 7. Lead Driver: Denny Hamlin (21.6): Hamlin is one of the safest picks Michigan, with two wins in the last three races, and is a must have for each team this week.Second Driver: Tony Stewart (22.4): Smoke has an AFP of 6.0 at Michigan, and at a cost of 22.4, he is an ideal candidate for another top point scorer.Third Driver: Joey Logano (19.0): With two top 10s in the last three races at Michigan and having a similar car to that of teammate Denny Hamlin, Logano should be a top 10 contender.Fourth Driver: AJ Allmendinger (20.0): With an AFP of 13.67 over the last three races at Michigan, The Dinger is a fairly safe and affordable pick for the fourth driver this week. He has three runner-up finishes on the track and -- along with Erik Jones -- is one of two Michigan natives who will be competing. Michigan, in recent history, has shown that good qualifying position can lead to good results. Before that, McClure highlighted Hamlin at New Hampshire, who finished sixth after starting 14th. However, his team Penske teammates showed more speed, qualifying fourth and fifth. The damage didnt look severe, but it did cause him to start in the rear of the field on Sunday in a backup car. For a slightly lesser cost, you could fill you teams spot with Newmans teammate and boss, Tony Stewart. Daniel Suarez 6. On Saturday, Erik will start from back in 23rd and I really like his top 10 finishing potential with that place differential potential. Now hes piloting a Toyota at 23XI Racing, and I have no doubt he can show up with speed once again on Sunday. Stenhouse got to the front when it mattered and became a Daytona 500 champion last week. The 2022 NASCAR at Michigan green flag drops at 3 p.m. Fantasy Racing Tips is not affiliated with, maintained, endorsed or sponsored by NASCAR. Congrats to hooviej1125 on their win last week! Busch has been one of the most consistent drivers at Michigan. Over the past three races at Michigan, Smoke has had an AFP of 6.0, and when his price is 22.4, it is hard not to put the two-time champion on your team. Ricky Stenhouse Now, the model simulated the 2023 Pala Casino 400 10,000 times. By default it is sorted by average projected FPTS. Get Your First Deposit Matched Up to $100! Michigan DraftKings DFS Cash Game Picks Ryan Blaney ($9300): Blaney is in a great cash-game spot here, priced down from the top tier at only $9300. When Busch won in 2019, he dominated, leading 134 laps. Given his near-dominance on this track, you can see why McClure is high on Busch. Reddick is listed at 10-1 while Kyle Busch is the 11-2 favorite in the latest 2022 FireKeepers Casino 400 odds from Caesars Sportsbook. In the 550hp package this year, hes got an average finish of 11.5 and an average running position of 12.6. He finished 5th, 2nd, 6th and 2nd in his last four races at Michigan. Jekyll and Mr. Hyde season? Elliott is a legitimate top 5 threat on Sunday and if he can just pick up a handful of dominator points along the way, hes going to be worth taking the risk on in DraftKings at just $9,200 salary. Before setting your NASCAR DFS strategy for the 2022 FireKeepers Casino 400 on sites like DraftKings and FanDuel, be sure tocheck out the optimal NASCAR at Michigan DFS strategy and lineup advice from SportsLine's Mike McClure. Head to SportsLine to 1. Reddick was especially strong at the 1.5-mile ovals of Kansas and Charlotte, and overall he comes in sixth in my FLAGS rankings at similar tracks. As the returning winner, he has an excellent chance of breaking Fords eight-race losing streak but should provide a high positional value even if he comes up short of victory. The Toledo Rockets (23-6, 14-2 MAC) battle the Central Michigan Chippewas (10-19, 5-11) Tuesday. 5 Hendrick Motorsports driver had some good green flag speed last year at the high tire wear tracks as well as Michigan International Speedway, the other 2-mile course on the circuit. Eat the chalk with Pasta this weekend, especially in cash games. Lets review the NASCAR DraftKings scoring rules. Kevin Harvick ($8400) and Aric Almirola ($6800)put up solid practice times, with little tire falloff over the long run. Pennzoil 400: Las Vegas Picks, Odds & Race Preview. Larson is a three-time winner at Michigan and Hendrick Motorsports has had the strongest cars all season. Grab This Top 10 Prop Bet For The NASCAR Race At Daytona 2 DraftKings NASCAR Fantasy Picks, Projections, & Strategy Breakdown (Coke Watkins Glen NASCAR Algorithm Predicted Finishing Order (Go Bowling At The Watkins Glen DraftKings NASCAR Fantasy Picks & Driver Projections (Go Bowling Michigan is a 2-mile race track. I say shockingly because, frankly, that is not usually the case. Michigan is usually a pretty green race, so well likely see about 160 green flag laps, which would equal 72 possible DraftKings FPTS for fastest laps. One of the races is on a road course and the other is at Daytona. Alex Bowman 3. Given his recent form and underlying metrics, Reddick would be a steal at his listed NASCAR DFS price tags. The latest in the sports world, emailed daily. In that contest, the top score was 291.4 and won $300 with race winner Tyler Reddick, Cindric, Michael McDowell, Bubba Wallace, Harrison Burton, and Gilliland. As far as DraftKings scoring, the rules are the same as last season: 0.45 points for each fastest lap and 0.25 for each lap led. 10 Smithfield Ford ranked second in average running position (behind Jones) among drivers in this group at high tire wear races in 2022, which, combined with the best average finish, suggests he should be shorter than the other two drivers listed at +500 and priced closer to Jones. In addition, the driver of the No. Buyer beware, though, that even though a driver is in the top 10 in points doesnt alwaysguaranteesuccess at certain tracks. AJ Allmendinger didnt run very many intermediate tracks last year, but he did cross the line in 10th at World Wide Technology Raceway. Larson had a top 10 average speed in four of last years five events at high-tire wear tracks, including at Homestead en route to the win. Of all the drivers currently in the top 10 in points, the driver to avoid at Michigan is Ryan Newman. Fantasy Golf Picks for Arnold Palmer Invitational, Fantasy Live / Driver Group Game Questions. Before locking in any NASCAR DFS picks for the 2023 Pala Casino 400, be sure to check out the optimal NASCAR at Fontana DFS strategy and advice from SportsLine's Mike McClure. But now hes with Richard Childress Racing, and this race will be key to know how quickly he and his team can gel, especially if practice and qualifying rain out. WebAug 5, 2022 63 Dislike Share Stokastic DFS - Daily Fantasy Sports Advice 77.6K subscribers Top 5 NASCAR Cup FireKeepers Casino 400 Fantasy picks and predictions. I pride myself on the quality of my analysis for each race, and am glad that I have been able to help others along the way. At Michigan, it is incredibly difficult to pass the leader, so its hard to imagine Larson not dominating at least the first half of the FireKeepers Casino 400 on Sunday afternoon. On the other hand, Ryan Blaney is of great value, starting in the 24th spot. Here are the drivers and latest NASCAR odds included in Group D at Caesars: Theres no denying that Jones should be the favorite of the group, but his -105 odds are steep. WebNASCAR Fantasy Live is the only NASCAR fantasy game to offer live scoring! ET . Anybody who has followed his picks has seen huge returns. I got three data tables ready to analyze this weekend for Sundays FireKeepers Casino 400 at Michigan. Kyle Busch ($10,300)Career at Auto Club: 23 starts, 4 wins, 11 top fives, 16 top 10sAverage finish at Auto Club: 9.8. Michigan has long been a great track for Busch, and in 2022 at high-speed intermediate tracks where theres correlation, Busch has been fast and has been a contender to win the last three races. At Auto Club, the Its actually baffling how Kyle Busch was able to get up to a 14th place at Auto Club last year. ET Fantasy Football. 19 team knows they need a win this week. Comments from first time commenters are automatically held for moderation by Frontstretch staff. Covers does not provide any advice or guidance as to the legality of online sports betting or other online gambling activities within your jurisdiction and you are responsible for complying with laws that are applicable to you in your relevant locality. Other cash-game drivers I like: Denny Hamlin (10,300),Brad Keselowski ($6900). Ill note, it wasnt a huge issue, but it certainly didnt help. Below we detail a NASCAR pick at 5-1 odds with value for Sunday's race at Auto Club Speedway. Kyle Busch rode into the Winner's Circle last weekend, and sportsbooks are tabbing him as the pre-race favorite to do so again at this week's Pennzoil 400 at Las Vegas Motor Speedway. The Michigan State Spartans are averaging 69.8 points per game, 67 points against per game, 36 rebounds per game, and 14.8 assists per game. When teams are in practice, they are looking for the best set up for the car in race trim. He led just 28 laps in the race, but that was all he needed to bring home his first victory of 2022. Pay no attention to Ross Chastains average finish at Fontana. Ohio State is 10-20-0 ATS this season. This gives a better idea of how quick a driver and car really are and the top two drivers, Clint Bowyer and Mark Martin, both found there way into the top 10 on race day. August 6, 2022 DFS Racing Picks. Michigan State is 15-14-0 ATS this season. In fact, he had the second best green flag speed at Auto Club a year ago and led 90 laps, though he finished 24th. ET. The second table is data from the three races on 2-mile race tracks last season (one race at Auto Club and two races here at Michigan). If Larson carries the momentum over from last year, he should be fast right off the bat this weekend. CHRISTOPHER BELL (3): Bell said after his win at New Hampshire last month, This is not going to be our only win this year. These were just single lap times, but where the good information lies in the 10 lap average speed. Action Network makes no representation or warranty as to the accuracy of the information given or the outcome of any game or event. Theres no better time than now to give it a try!